Winterthur vs SC Bruhl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
BIE
1 - 2
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 1
YOB
10%
18%
73%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 0
DEL
56%
22%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 0
LOC
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
WIN
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SC Bruhl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SCB
3 - 2
WOH
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DEL
3 - 0
SCB
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SCB
1 - 4
BIE
19%
22%
60%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOC
2 - 1
SCB
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCB
0 - 5
WIN
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |