Winterthur vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
YOB
5 - 2
WIN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
STG
2 - 0
WIN
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
WIN
2 - 0
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
6 - 1
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
WIN
1 - 1
SIO
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 2
NEX
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
NEX
2 - 2
YOB
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
NEX
0 - 0
SIO
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
STG
2 - 0
NEX
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
NEX
1 - 1
SER
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |