Winterthur vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
NEX
2 - 0
WIN
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
0 - 0
DEL
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
LAU
4 - 1
WIN
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
2 - 2
FCA
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 0
WIN
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
DEL
0 - 0
FCL
64%
19%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 2
NEX
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
LAU
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
THU
4 - 2
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |