Winterthur vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
FCL
2 - 1
WIN
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
WIN
0 - 3
NEX
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
ZUR
7 - 1
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
WIN
1 - 2
SIO
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
FCW
1 - 1
WIN
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
FCL
2 - 1
WIN
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCL
78%
14%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCL
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
FCL
1 - 1
LAC
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |