Winterthur vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 2
WIN
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
WOH
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
KRI
0 - 2
WIN
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 1
STG
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
FCV
2 - 2
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
LUG
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
DEL
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
STG
1 - 0
LUG
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCA
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
LUG
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |