Winterthur vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BIE
2 - 4
WIN
34%
25%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
WIN
3 - 1
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
WIN
2 - 1
LUG
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
WIN
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIN
53%
23%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
LOC
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LOC
2 - 3
WIL
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LOC
0 - 3
FCA
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
WOH
2 - 2
LOC
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LOC
0 - 1
BIE
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |