Winterthur vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
WIN
3 - 1
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 1
WIN
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 2
DEL
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
LUG
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
WOH
5 - 1
WIN
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LAU
5 - 2
LOC
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LOC
3 - 1
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LOC
2 - 2
BIE
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SER
4 - 1
LOC
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LOC
0 - 3
ZUR
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |