Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
WIN
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WIN
0 - 2
NEX
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
LAU
2 - 2
WIN
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 1
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 2
WIN
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
SCH
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 1
FCL
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 4
ZUR
17%
22%
60%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
THU
2 - 1
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |