Winterthur vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
WIL
4 - 3
WIN
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
KRI
1 - 0
WIN
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 3
WOH
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAU
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
YFJ
0 - 4
WIN
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CON
4 - 2
MEY
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
CON
2 - 2
LAC
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
LUG
3 - 0
CON
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 2
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CON
0 - 1
FCL
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |