Winterthur vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 2
KRI
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
KRI
1 - 0
WIN
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
LAU
1 - 2
WIN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
WIN
3 - 2
WOH
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
BAD
2 - 1
WIN
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
WOH
3 - 1
CON
29%
25%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
CON
2 - 1
WOH
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
BAD
2 - 0
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
CON
0 - 1
SCH
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
LAU
1 - 1
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |