Winterthur vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 0
FCV
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 0
WIN
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
WIN
3 - 1
SCH
59%
22%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 2
WIN
20%
23%
58%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 3
WIL
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
KRI
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
GCZ
3 - 2
CHI
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 2
WIN
20%
23%
58%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
STA
3 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |