Winterthur vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
KRI
2 - 2
WIN
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
YFJ
0 - 2
WIN
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 2
MEY
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 1
LUG
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
YVE
2 - 1
WIN
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
LAC
1 - 2
CHI
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
BUL
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
YFJ
2 - 2
CHI
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CHI
3 - 1
WIL
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
MEY
1 - 0
CHI
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |