Winterthur vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
47
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 0
SCB
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 1
WIN
46%
24%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 0
SCH
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 1
WIN
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 1
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 5
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
BOT
64%
20%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 2
SGF
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |