Winterthur vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
SIO
2 - 0
WIN
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
WIN
1 - 2
LAU
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
WIN
2 - 2
CSC
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SER
2 - 0
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
WIN
1 - 4
GCZ
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 2
LAU
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
CSC
1 - 2
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 1
NEX
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
ATH
3 - 1
BAS
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 1
SIO
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |