Winterthur vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
WOH
3 - 1
WIN
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
LAC
2 - 0
WIN
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 0
WOH
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SIO
0 - 0
WIN
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 3
SIO
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
BAD
3 - 3
WOH
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
WOH
0 - 0
BAD
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 0
LAC
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MEY
4 - 0
BAD
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
SIO
3 - 0
BAD
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |