Winterthur vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
WIN
6 - 4
LAC
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 3
WIN
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
DEL
2 - 3
WIN
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
KRI
7 - 1
WIN
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 0
WOH
65%
20%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 0
YVE
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
LAC
3 - 2
BEL
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCV
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 4
BEL
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
FCA
3 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |