Winterthur vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 0
WIN
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
WIN
2 - 4
WIL
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
WIN
1 - 2
NEX
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 3
WIN
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
WIN
1 - 2
STG
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
NEX
2 - 0
BEL
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
YOB
1 - 0
BEL
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
YVE
2 - 0
BEL
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
BEL
1 - 1
YVE
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |