Winterthur vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1977 |
STG
1 - 1
WIN
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
LAU
1 - 0
WIN
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
WIN
1 - 0
SIO
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
WIN
0 - 3
STG
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1977 |
CSC
3 - 1
WIN
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1977 |
LAU
5 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 1
CSC
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
STG
7 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
ZUR
6 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 2
YOB
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |