Winterthur vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
6 - 1
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
WIN
1 - 1
SIO
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
LAU
3 - 0
WIN
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
SIO
2 - 1
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 1
STG
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
SER
10 - 0
BEL
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |