Winterthur II vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
WIN
3 - 2
CHA
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
STG
1 - 0
WIN
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 5
SCH
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 0
GCB
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 2
WIN
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 1
STG
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 0
TUG
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TUG
4 - 1
FCB
72%
15%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 0
MEN
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
STG
3 - 2
TUG
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |