Winterthur II vs SV Schaffhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
11º
6º
6
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 4
WIN
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 4
KRE
37%
23%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 0
WIN
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 0
ESC
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCW
0 - 0
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SV Schaffhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SVS
4 - 2
TUG
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
KRE
4 - 1
SVS
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
SVS
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 2
HON
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 1
FCC
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |