Winterthur II vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 0
LUG
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIN
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 1
MEN
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TAV
3 - 4
WIN
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 2
DIE
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
BAD
5 - 0
FCT
80%
14%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FCT
0 - 1
FCG
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCT
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FCT
0 - 1
FCW
19%
24%
58%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FCT
0 - 2
LUG
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |