Winterthur II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FCT
3 - 1
WIN
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
KOS
2 - 0
WIN
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 3
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 2
WIN
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
2 - 2
LOC
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BAD
4 - 0
FCW
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAD
3 - 1
FCG
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FCB
0 - 3
BAD
21%
23%
57%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FCT
0 - 2
BAD
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 0
KOS
69%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |