Wingate & Finchley vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
HOR
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 2
POT
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 3
WIN
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ENF
2 - 1
WIN
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
CAR
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 2
WOR
17%
19%
63%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
WOR
2 - 1
MER
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WOR
5 - 4
LEW
76%
15%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ENF
2 - 2
WOR
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
KIN
3 - 4
WOR
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |