Wingate & Finchley vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 3
WIN
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 2
BOG
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 2
FOL
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NEE
1 - 0
WIN
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 3
GRA
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 4
HAR
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 1
LEI
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BIL
2 - 1
HAR
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 5
HAR
20%
22%
59%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |