FA Trophy 1/64
Global 4-3
Wingate & Finchley vs Chippenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
WIN
68%
20%
13%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 4
KIN
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BOG
4 - 2
WIN
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 1
WIN
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TIV
2 - 3
WIN
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Chippenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
WIN
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 1
WEA
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
STA
2 - 3
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
CHM
1 - 0
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 2
WOK
42%
24%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |