Wingate & Finchley vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 1
HAR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 1
WIN
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 0
LEI
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 1
WIN
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
4 - 3
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BIL
1 - 1
TON
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 1
BIL
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BIL
2 - 1
HAR
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ENF
2 - 2
BIL
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BIL
0 - 2
CHE
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |