Winchester City vs Walton & Hersham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
15º
20º
17º
44
1º
18º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 96 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 90 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 77 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 76 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 73 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 68 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 63 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 60 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 57 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 57 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 54 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 54 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 52 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 50 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
21º
|
25 | 46 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 46 |
16º
|
7% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 46 |
17º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 45 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 44 |
19º
|
13% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 44 |
20º
|
12.5% | |
|
20º
|
26 | 40 |
21º
|
27% | |
|
22º
|
19 | 27 |
22º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 83.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 0
WIN
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 2
HUN
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 1
POO
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
5 - 2
SWI
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
WEY
3 - 0
WIN
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Walton & Hersham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 2
GOS
62%
20%
19%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ASH
1 - 0
WAL
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TON
2 - 1
WAL
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
WAL
35%
24%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POO
1 - 1
WAL
19%
23%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |