FA Cup Previa 2
Global 3-6
Wincanton Town vs Fleet Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
48.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wincanton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 9
AFT
12%
16%
72%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 0
CAM
20%
19%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
WIN
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TAD
2 - 6
WIN
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WIN
5 - 1
WIN
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fleet Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 5
ALD
4%
11%
85%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 4
HOR
71%
15%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 3
RED
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JBF
5 - 1
FLE
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
TAD
5 - 0
FLE
43%
21%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |