Wimpassing vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wimpassing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
STG
0 - 3
WIN
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
WIN
2 - 2
PUR
58%
20%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
JEN
1 - 2
WIN
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
WIN
4 - 1
DEU
39%
24%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
WIN
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
FOR
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 2
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
DRA
29%
21%
50%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
STM
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
OBE
6 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |