FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Wimbledon FC vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wimbledon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
BOL
1 - 0
WIM
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
WAT
1 - 1
WIM
22%
24%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
WIM
2 - 3
EVE
44%
28%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 3
WIM
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
CHL
1 - 2
WIM
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
WAT
0 - 1
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
WAT
1 - 1
WIM
22%
24%
55%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
OLD
0 - 0
WAT
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
WAT
3 - 0
TRA
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
BIR
1 - 0
WAT
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |