Wimbledon FC vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wimbledon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1998 |
LEE
2 - 2
WIM
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
WIM
2 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
WIM
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
WIM
1 - 0
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
WIM
2 - 1
COV
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
MAC
2 - 1
STO
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
WRE
0 - 1
MAC
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
YOR
2 - 1
MAC
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1998 |
MAC
1 - 0
DAR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
MAC
0 - 0
BRO
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |