Wimbledon FC vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wimbledon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
WIM
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
WIM
1 - 2
GIL
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 0
WIM
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 3
WIM
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
SHE
2 - 1
WIM
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
DER
2 - 0
MIL
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
DER
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DER
5 - 1
PNE
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
DER
3 - 2
BRA
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
WHU
0 - 0
DER
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |