Wiltz 71 vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
14º
10º
77
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
USM
3 - 0
WIL
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
WIL
37%
23%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
DIF
27%
24%
50%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 2
WIL
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 1
USH
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 1
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KAE
0 - 6
SWI
9%
18%
73%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
4 - 3
F91
44%
23%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 0
SWI
33%
23%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
MON
83%
12%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |