Wiltz 71 vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 1
KAE
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
F91
15 - 0
WIL
84%
12%
5%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
2 - 1
FOL
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DIF
4 - 4
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 3
LXC
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SWI
0 - 3
F91
12%
20%
67%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
JEU
2 - 1
SWI
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SWI
0 - 0
DIF
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LXC
2 - 0
SWI
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SWI
0 - 0
CSP
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |