Wiltz 71 vs Grevenmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
DIF
3 - 0
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CSP
2 - 1
WIL
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
JEU
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
MON
1 - 5
WIL
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
RAC
3 - 0
WIL
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MAM
0 - 2
GRE
16%
22%
63%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 3
VIC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 2
GRE
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 0
DIF
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
JEU
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |