Wiltz 71 vs Norden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SWI
2 - 3
WIL
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
SDL
10 - 0
WIL
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FCR
4 - 3
WIL
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
GRE
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 0
UME
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FFN
1 - 2
USS
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FFN
0 - 2
MAM
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UME
3 - 1
FFN
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 4
FFN
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
FFN
2 - 2
USS
56%
21%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |