Wilmington Hammerheads vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
PIT
4 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
CHA
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 0
WIL
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 4
PIT
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
CIN
1 - 1
ROC
60%
25%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
PIT
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
ROC
53%
27%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 0
WIL
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 1
RIC
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |