Wilmington Hammerheads vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
ORA
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
PNN
1 - 2
WIL
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
NYO
1 - 3
WIL
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 0
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RIC
3 - 0
DAY
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
PIT
2 - 0
RIC
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
RIC
1 - 2
ORA
64%
23%
14%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
RIC
1 - 0
ANT
71%
20%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
KCW
0 - 2
RIC
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |