Wilmington Hammerheads vs Orlando City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
SAC
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 1
ORL
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 3
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 2
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Orlando City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
ORL
7 - 0
DAY
79%
14%
6%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 1
ORL
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RIC
2 - 3
ORL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
ORL
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ORL
3 - 1
PNN
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |