Wilmington Hammerheads vs Penn FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ORL
4 - 1
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 0
RIC
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DAY
1 - 2
WIL
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 2
RIC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
ORA
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
PNN
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ORL
2 - 2
PNN
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 2
PNN
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
PNN
3 - 2
ORA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
ORL
4 - 0
PNN
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |