Willy Serrato vs Walter Ormeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
WIL
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 0
SBO
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
WIL
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 2
LOS
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
WIL
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ormeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 1
MUN
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
WAL
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 3
AUN
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 0
WAL
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 0
GAL
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |