Willy Serrato vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
8 - 1
WIL
60%
21%
18%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 3
AGP
21%
25%
55%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIE
9 - 1
WIL
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 6
SRP
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOS
3 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 0
SPO
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 4
VAL
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
5 - 0
ALF
86%
11%
4%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
HUA
0 - 0
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 3
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |