Willy Serrato vs Union Huaral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 3
WIL
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
ALF
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
WIL
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SBO
6 - 0
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPO
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
SBO
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 3
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
UNI
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALF
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |