Willy Serrato vs Union Huaral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
WIL
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 1
WAL
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
WIL
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 0
SBO
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 2
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
AUN
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 1
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
WAL
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |