Willy Serrato vs Los Chankas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
WIL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 2
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 3
WIL
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
ALF
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
WIL
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Los Chankas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SRP
4 - 4
ATL
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LOS
1 - 0
SRP
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SRP
1 - 0
MAN
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AUN
3 - 1
SRP
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SRP
2 - 1
CAN
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |