Willy Serrato vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AUN
2 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 2
LOS
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
WIL
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 0
DEF
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SBO
2 - 2
WIL
37%
27%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
6 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
GAR
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 0
SAN
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |