Willy Serrato vs Pacífico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 1
WIL
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 0
COM
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 2
WIL
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
GAL
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
WIL
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
MUN
35%
29%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AUN
1 - 2
PAC
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 0
LOS
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |