Willy Serrato vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
WIL
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 0
WIL
41%
27%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
MUN
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
5 - 1
WIL
22%
28%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 1
MUN
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
GAL
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AUN
4 - 0
GAL
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GAL
3 - 0
LOS
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |