Willy Serrato vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
5 - 1
WIL
22%
28%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
WIL
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 1
WAL
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 1
SPO
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 2
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 1
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 2
DEF
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 1
MUN
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |